S&P 500 Hits Fresh Record as Early-2026 Rally Shows Signs of Fatigue

Paul Jackson

January 7, 2026

Key Points

  • The S&P 500 and Dow hit fresh intraday records, but the rally showed signs of slowing.

  • Oil refiners jumped on reports that Venezuelan oil sales will continue and sanctions may be eased.

  • Crude fell as markets priced in more supply, raising renewed oversupply concerns.

  • Bank stocks dropped more than 2%, giving back early-2026 gains.

What happened

U.S. stocks pushed higher on Wednesday, extending a strong start to 2026 — but the session had a “foot-off-the-gas” feel underneath the headlines.

The S&P 500 rose about 0.3%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped roughly 0.1% after briefly reaching another intraday high earlier in the day. The Nasdaq outperformed, up around 0.7%, as tech helped steady the broader tape.

Oil refiners rip higher on Venezuela flow expectations

Energy-linked names were among the clearest winners.

Reports suggested Venezuelan oil shipments will continue on an ongoing basis and that restrictions could be selectively reduced — a setup that tends to favor refiners and service firms positioned to benefit from changes in flows.

Notable movers:

  • Valero Energy (VLO): up about 4%
  • Marathon Petroleum (MPC): up roughly 1%

Crude drops as markets sniff out oversupply risk

While refiners popped, crude moved the other way.

Leadership in Washington signaled that Venezuelan authorities could turn over as much as 50 million barrels toward U.S. markets, and traders reacted the way they usually do when potential supply ramps hit the tape: price it down first, ask questions later.

A portfolio manager at Globalt Investments framed it bluntly: the muted reaction in crude suggests the market still doesn’t view supply as tight — and that oversupply remains a real risk.

Geopolitics doesn’t derail stocks

Despite elevated geopolitical risk, equities largely held their footing. The market posture was basically:

  • Energy headlines = sector winners and losers
  • Broad market = still focused on growth and rates

Translation: geopolitics is a risk factor, but not (yet) a dominant driver for equity pricing.

Banks give back early-2026 gains

Financials were a drag.

After a strong start to the year, big banks sold off, with JPMorgan, Bank of America, and Wells Fargo each down more than 2% — a reminder that early-year leadership often rotates fast.

WallStAccess Take

Records are still getting printed — but the rally is starting to look more selective than broad-based. When crude is falling on supply fears, refiners are ripping, and banks are dumping in the same session… that’s not “everything up.” That’s a market picking spots.

Read our recent coverage on Venezuela Shipping Sanctioned Oil to U.S. Indefinitely.

Explore more market insights on the WallStreetAccess homepage.


Disclaimer

WallStAccess does not work with or receive compensation from any companies mentioned. This content is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct independent research before investing.

Author

Paul Jackson

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